Great simplification pulsing lines

#70 | Frankly

Ask Me Anything – Your Questions About TGS Answered

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Frankly

The content of The Great Simplification (on Youtube and in real life) can be complex, nuanced and multi-faceted. In today’s Frankly, Nate offers reflections on a selection of viewers’ direct questions about the myriad topics covered on this channel.

The goal of this podcast is to integrate the head, the heart and the hands by building a generative conversation between many more humans. The learning process about upcoming constraints and opportunities will continue to be interactive and ongoing. By offering insightful responses to questions both personal and professional, this Frankly (and future AMAs) directly engages our online community to better understand the nuances of the reality we face and what might be some realistic pathways ahead.

What exactly is the relationship between energy and economic growth? What has Nate learned over the last 2.5 years of podcast recordings and what could be done differently? How might we better organize our infrastructure, communities and local politics to prepare for the upcoming Great Simplification? And of course, the question we’ve all been asking ourselves… How are Nate’s ducks??

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In French, we have a motto that says that a simple drawing is often better than a long explanation. Jean-Marc Jancovici Carbone 4 President

That’s very understandable because with left atmosphere thinking, one of the problems is that you see everything as a series of problems that must have solutions. Iain McGilchrist Neuroscientist and Philosopher

We can’t have hundreds and hundreds of real relationships that are healthy because that requires time and effort and full attention and awareness of being in real relationship and conversation with the other human. Nate Hagens Director of ISEOF

This is the crux of the whole problem. Individual parts of nature are more valuable than the biocomplexity of nature. Thomas Crowther Founder Restor

Show Notes & Links to Learn More

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00:20 – Substack link

01:38 – EPA figures

01:58 – Electricity accounts for 20% of global energy use

02:19 – Graph on US electricity use 1950-2022

02:30 – Graph on energy consumption by source

02:50 – Graph on correlation between GDP, materials and energy Figure 1

03:15 – Graph on GDP and energy growth ratios Figure 2, additional info: scaling of energy to GDP

03:46 – Energy embodied in imports

04:07 – The average American uses 57 barrel of oil equivalents of fossil fuels/year + *17 from imports

04:44 – Emergence

05:56 – Paul Ehrlich, TGS Episode

06:25 – William Rees, TGS Episode

06:28 – Overshoot 

06:46 – Corey Bradshaw, TGS Episode

07:00 – Frankly on Overshoot

07:29 – Bottlenecks 

08:00 – Financial bend or break

08:25 – Financial overshoot, complexity, geopolitics, the social contract: Four Horsemen

10:27 – Global population distribution

11:22 – Dopamine + Frankly on the Behavioral Stack

12:45 – Red Wing farmers’ market

12:57 – EROI, Frankly on EROI

14:00 – Dunbar’s number

14:44 – Carbon Pulse, Frankly on the Carbon Pulse

15:56 – Frankly on Nuclear Conflict

16:20 – Bond yields and debt expectations

17:25 – Move towards totalitarianism in UK

17:50 – Carbon tax + direct vs indirect carbon emissions + consumption increases with income

18:40 – Worldwide nuclear weapon stockpiles, **12,121 nuclear warheads estimated as of early 2024

19:00 – Proud Prophet + AI models and nuclear conflict

19:55 – Johan Rockström, TGS Episode

20:22 – John Holdren

21:12 – Advance policy

22:33 – Renewables can’t power this civilization

25:48 – Iain McGilchrist, TGS Episode

27:37 – Energy Blindness

28:29 – Overton window

28:37 – The Matter with Things + cognitive biases

31:00 – Superorganism

32:02 – Hannah Ritchie, William Nordhaus, Steven Pinker

32:40 – Decline in global poverty

33:22 – Frankly on Wide Boundary Lenses

34:42 – Joe Rogan, Lex Fridman 

35:18 – Farmland being turned into data centers 

35:56 – Cantillon effect

37:18 – Renewables can power a great civilization, just not this civilization

37:35 – Energy use in US

38:05 – Narrative that renewables can replace and grow our current energy footprint

38:43 – Average American house has over 60 gadgets plugged in

Back to episodes
Frankly#113 | 11 Discoveries That Changed My Worldview

In this episode, Nate weaves personal reflections into an exploration of the human predicament, unpacking a series of chronological insights that have reshaped his worldview. What began years ago as an investigation into oil has morphed into a deep lifelong journey into the complex web of energy, psychology, evolution, and systems that drive today's society. By sharing stories and realizations from his own life, whether it’s the debunking of Wall Street energy illusions or unpacking how sexual selection is often as important a behavioral driver as natural selection, Nate invites listeners to step back and see the human story through a much wider lens.

Watch nowNov 14, 2025
Frankly#112 | The Quadruple Bifurcation

In this week’s Frankly, Nate outlines four bifurcations that are likely to underpin the human experience in the near future. While the broad biophysical realities of energy and ecology underpin our civilization’s movement over time, in the moment, people will experience these trends mostly economically and psychologically. Whether related to the widening of an already existing economic gap or the expansion of dependence on cognitive crutches like AI, the demographics that comprise society are starting to splinter – to bifurcate. These divergences, and the ways we cope with them, contribute to increasing incoherence as a species.

Watch nowOct 31, 2025
Frankly#111 | The Three Most Important Words We’re Taught Not to Say

In this week’s Frankly, Nate considers the ways in which our social species overvalues false-confidence rather than the more honest and inquisitive response of “I don’t know.” He invites us to consider the science behind this cultural bias towards certainty: from our biological response from the stress of “not knowing” to the reinforcing effects of motivated reasoning that ensnares even the smartest among us (especially the smartest among us).

Watch nowOct 24, 2025

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