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Ep 12  |  Dennis Meadows

Dennis Meadows: “Limits to Growth turns 50 – Checking In”

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TGS12 Dennis Meadows The Great Simplification

On this episode, we meet with Professor Emeritus of Systems Management and author, Dennis Meadows.

Meadows revisits Limits to Growth 50 years after it was published.  Looking back, how does Meadows view the book? How much of the response to his description of overshoot was based in fear?

Meadows offers advice to current leaders based on the models he developed in Limits to Growth. Why is it important to develop success indicators, and how can they be clearly communicated to the public? 

Further, Meadows explores the available leverage points to avoid the worst types of collapse at our current stage of crises.

About Dennis Meadows

Dennis Meadows is the Emeritus Professor of Systems Management at MIT and the co-author of Limits to Growth and Beyond the Limits. 

He has received numerous awards and is the recipient of four honorary doctorates for his contributions to environmental education. He co-authored the pioneering 1972 book The Limits to Growth, which analyzed the long-term consequences of unconstrained resource consumption driven by population and economic growth on a finite planet.

Show Notes & Links to Learn More

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Resilience: Cassandra’s Curse: How limits to growth was demonized

Update to limits to growth: Comparing the World3 model with empirical data

00:45: Dennis Meadows info, Limits to Growth, 50 Year Anniversary of Limits to Growth

02:05 – Peak Oil

03:16 – Club of Rome

07:42 – Ecological overshoot

07:45 – Kaibab plateau case study

10:26 – Systems dynamics models

11:08 – Systems thinking

13:45 – Cognitive dissonance

14:51 – Importance of soil

20:08 – Computer modeling

20:17 – Systems games

21:03 – Stratagem

25:26 – Paul Ehrlich

25:28 – Rex Weyler

25:07 – Growth cannot continue forever

26:36 – Energy blind

28:28 – Food systems

28:55 – Development of batteries

29:40 – Nate on Technology

30:10 – Link between GDP and Energy Figure 2

30:37 – Fossil army of 500 billion human workers

30:40 – Energy is Merely a Commodity 29:35 timestamp from Earth and Humanity

30:44 – Fossil carbon use growing at 2% per year throughout the last 50 years

31:00 – Our efficiency saves us 1% energy per year

32:20 – Energy stocks are declining

30:35 – Energy return on investment is declining

32:55 – Energy now and slaves in ancient Rome

33:44 – Net Energy

33:56 – Credit and energy

34:14 – Complexity

35:32 – Cassandra legend

37:50 – Integrative assessment reports IPCC

41:55 – Biological feedback systems

42:58 – Methane emissions

44:48 – Last time CO2 was at today’s levels

45:09 – Arctic Ice melting to raise sea levels 190 feet

45:12 – History of sea levels

47:53 – Current society centers around growth

49:16 – US energy use has tripled since the 1950s

50:16 – Shrinking Population Economics Matsutani Akihiko 

51:06 – Short term time horizon

52:57 – Advance Policy (Password: advance)

53:18 – How Are We

54:27 – For most of human history there was no economic growth

56:52 – The Phoenicians

57:22 – We are more globally intertwined than ever

59:10 – The ozone layer

49:40 – Dupont CFCs alternative

1:01:07 – Nuclear winter

1:03:24 – Spatial Horizon

1:06:55 – Maslow’s Hierarchy

1:07:28 – Scott Barry Kaufman Maslow Analysis

1:11:03 – Social networks make you healthier

1:13:29 – Paul Ehrlich Population Bomb

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