Net Zero and Other Delusions: What Can’t, Won’t and Might Happen

This week, Nate offers a reflection on the U.S. midterm elections, separating the relief of a clear outcome from the deeper questions that remain unsolved. He considers what has changed politically and what hasn’t through a transpartisan lens, highlighting a growing disconnect between political institutions and the biophysical reality shaping our future. While the election has changed the occupants of some government positions, the Carbon Pulse continues, planetary boundaries remain in overshoot, and the global economic Superorganism carries on at its established pace.

In this week’s Frankly, Nate examines the possibility that global economic growth is approaching its limits, reframing it as a historically unusual period in human history enabled by an extraordinary inheritance of fossil fuels. By tracing the relationship between economic output and the energy, materials, and ecological systems that sustain it, Nate uncovers how financial markets, debt, and technological innovation can obscure the physical constraints beneath economic activity, allowing financial claims to expand even as the underlying stocks and flows become harder to access. He outlines seven potential pathways to the end of growth, including how things like geopolitical conflict, social unrest, ecological degradation, catastrophic external events, and cascading systemic failures could expose the fragility of an increasingly interconnected global economy.

In the face of increasing chaos in our world, Nate turns inward in this week’s Frankly to examine a more personal question: what allows an individual to remain grounded, authentic, and capable of contributing meaningfully in turbulent times? He draws on his own experience to identify five things that help him build personal resilience, taking care to not treat them as any sort of universal formula. Rather, Nate offers a systems-oriented perspective that recognizes that our capacity to engage with a complex world depends partly on the conditions that sustain us as human beings.