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Ep 126  |  Daniel Schmachtenberger

Daniel Schmachtenberger: “Moving from Naive to Authentic Progress: A Vision for Betterment”

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TGS132 Daniel Schmachtenberger The Great Simplification

Show Summary

In this episode, Nate welcomes back Daniel Schmachtenberger to unpack a new paper, which he co-authored, entitled Development in Progress, an analysis on the history of progress and the consequences of ‘advancement’. 

Current mainstream narratives sell the story that progress is synonymous with betterment, and that the world becomes better for everyone as GDP and economies continue to grow. Yet, this is an incomplete portrayal that leaves out the dark sides of advancement. What are the implications when only the victors of history write the narratives of progress and define societal values? What are the value systems embedded in our institutions and policies, and how do they reinforce the need for ongoing growth at the expense of the natural world and human well-being? Finally, how do we change these dynamics to form a new, holistic definition of progress that accounts for the connectedness of our planet to the health of our minds, bodies, and communities?

The full paper discussed in this episode will be available on The Consilience Project website in the near future.

About Daniel Schmachtenberger

Daniel Schmachtenberger is a founding member of The Consilience Project, aimed at improving public sensemaking and dialogue. 

The throughline of his interests has to do with ways of improving the health and development of individuals and society, with a virtuous relationship between the two as a goal.

Towards these ends, he’s had a particular interest in catastrophic and existential risk, with focuses on civilization collapse and institutional decay. His work also includes an analysis of progress narratives, collective action problems, and social organization theories. These themes are all connected through close study of the relevant domains in philosophy and science.

Show Notes & Links to Learn More

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Consilience Project paper on ‘Development in Progress’

00:00 – Daniel Schmachtenberger info + Bend Not Break series + Episode on Artificial Intelligence

08:08 – Screen time associated with depression in teens

09:02 – Supply chain of an iPhone

09:15 – Silent Spring, Rachel Carson

09:15 – Leaded gasoline, DDT

10:12 – War, disease, and addiction are good for GDP

12:28 – Hobbes State of Nature

14:25 – Carbon pulse

16:10 – Ghengis Khan killed *40 million people – 11% of the global population at the time, and 10% of the old Mongol territory estimated to be his descendents

16:52 – Attila the Hun, Alexander the Great, Ivan the Terrible, Julius Caesar

17:23 – Beginning of civilization

18:01 – High infant mortality, but actual average age in ancient history

18:22 – Dunbar numbers

21:13 – Iroquois confederacy, designs of constraints

21:38 – Pacific NW tribes embedded rules of constraint (fishing)

21:40 – Jevons Paradox

22:16 – Sabbath

22:59 – Potlatch

24:01 – Maximum Power Principle

27:56 – Fast food and convenience food are highly addicting with way less micronutrients

28:28 – First climate change paper written in 1938, UNEP

28:54 – There is a trillion U.S. dollars of climate finance per year

30:20 – Adding non-carbon energy sources are not reducing fossil energy use

32:01 – Manifest Destiny

34:50 – Multipolar trap

41:10 – Humans and neanderthals

43:55 – Co-evolution, predator and prey

45:52 – Symmetry of power in competition

49:06 – Decline of oxygen in the atmosphere and the oceans

53:01 – 3M PFAS remediation settlement of 10.3 billion dollars

53:17 – PFAS is everywhere and affecting the health of everything, and doesn’t breakdown

53:51 – One state budget for PFAS remediation was estimated to cost 50 million dollars

54:09 – About 200 trillion/year USD is estimated for global removal of all PFAS at the rate it’s currently produced – approximately 2x global GDP in 2023

54:45 – Companies knew PFAS were toxic, as well as leaded gasoline

58:28 – Dark Triad

59:24 – Narcissism, Sociopathy, Machiavelliansim 

1:00:27 – 14th amendment, loophole to give personhood rights to corporations,

1:00:30 – By 1912, the Supreme Court had heard 28 cases on rights of African Americans vs 312 cases on the rights of corporations for the 14th amendment

1:03:05 – Shareholder value

1:05:24 – Jaron Lanier

1:07:28 – Red Teaming

1:11:04 – Jeremy Grantham, TGS Episode

1:13:25 – Increase in rates of cancer, mapped over rates of carcinogenic chemicals in the atmosphere

1:14:43 – Haber Bosch

1:15:13 – Carcinogens in breast milk

1:22:35 – Kissinger and Buffet

1:23:54 – Gaussian Distribution

1:25:22 – Top 8 wealthiest people have as much money as bottom 4 billion

1:28:50 – Shareholder value and the supreme court

1:30:02 – Nate’s Frankly on Dark Triad

1:31:22 – Jainism

1:35:42 – Nuremberg Trials, how many Nazis believed what they were doing was good

1:37:14 – Asch conformity studies, Milgram Studies, smoke door study

1:50:46 – 50 million people enslaved

1:44:54 – Creative Destruction

1:44:56 – The Art of Maintenance

1:47:41 – ACEs

1:47:58 – Response to trauma is very variable

1:58:23 – Descartes

2:01:40 – Many cultures didn’t divide the objective and the subjective

2:02:28 – Von Neumann on Game Theory

2:04:56 – Iain Mcghilchrist, TGS Episode, Master and his Emissary

2:06:33 – Clockwork Orange

2:07:30 – War is a Racket

2:15:15 – Animal plows and incompatibility with animism

2:22:10 – How to mislead with facts

2:23:35 – Population growth, energy per capita growth

2:25:44 – Human population/species extinctions, Ocean dead zones, micronutrient deficiency

2:27:32 – Most plagues are zoonotic

2:28:35 – Weston A. Price, grains and cavities

2:32:40 – Food and Drug industries

2:35:15 – Permaculture approach to agriculture

2;45:23 – Vanessa Andreotti + TGS

2:46:25 – Bohm, Einstein, Krishnamurti

2:48:21 – English is 70% nouns

2:57:36 – Erich Fromm

3:01:59 – Moore’s Law, AI

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