Great simplification pulsing lines

Ep 27  |  Joe Tainter

Joe Tainter: “Surplus, Complexity, and Simplification”

Check out this podcast

Joe Tainter The Great Simplification

On this episode we meet with anthropologist, historian, and Professor at Utah State University, Joe Tainter.

What are the key differences between complicated and complex? How can we better understand energy and society through these key distinctions? Tainter explains our current predicament based on decades of research and offers pathways for our collective future.

About Joe Tainter

Joe Tainter has been a professor at Utah State University in the Environment and Society Department since 2007, serving as Department Head from 2007 to 2009. His study of why societies collapse led to research on sustainability, with emphasis on energy and innovation. He has also conducted research on land-use conflict and human responses to climate change. He has written several books, including The Collapse of Complex Societies and Drilling Down: The Gulf Oil Debacle and Our Energy Dilemma.

In French, we have a motto that says that a simple drawing is often better than a long explanation. Jean-Marc Jancovici Carbone 4 President

That’s very understandable because with left atmosphere thinking, one of the problems is that you see everything as a series of problems that must have solutions. Iain McGilchrist Neuroscientist and Philosopher

We can’t have hundreds and hundreds of real relationships that are healthy because that requires time and effort and full attention and awareness of being in real relationship and conversation with the other human. Nate Hagens Director of ISEOF

This is the crux of the whole problem. Individual parts of nature are more valuable than the biocomplexity of nature. Thomas Crowther Founder Restor

Show Notes & Links to Learn More

Download transcript

00:57 – Joe Tainter Works + Info

02:00Living in the Future’s Past (Movie with Jeff Bridges)

04:10Collapse of the Roman empire and collapse of the Mayan empire

04:13Optimal Foraging Theory

06:43Agates and Stromatolites 

07:20EROI/Energy Gain

10:48Tadeusz Patzek + Drilling Down: The Gulf Oil Debacle and Our Energy Dilemma

11:01U.S. forces in North Africa in 1942

15:40 Complexity develops to solve a problem

16:57Underpaying for fossil carbons

17:58In the past, 90% of humans labored in food production

20:09Paul Maidowski Twitter

20:35Early socialization creates synapses that shape the person to come

22:11 Maximum Power Principle

22:59Energy Complexity Spiral (Drilling Down)

23:38Joe on the Byzantine Empire (pg. 63)

29:50We are not evolved to think broadly in space and time

31:07Mayan calendrical and astronomical knowledge

32:50Climate Change

34:33Thomas Malthus

34:38 – Paul Ehrlich info + TGS podcast

35:20 A refrigerator uses more energy than many countries use per capita

35:45 George H.W. Bush on Climate

36:24Tragedy of the commons

38:25Petroleum and WW2

38:30Oil used to be 100:1 EROI, now it is 15:1

41:11Fracking technology “makes the straw bigger”

41:23 – Countries like Germany and Japan have to import most energy

41:57The Euro has weakened against the Ruble

42:11Freeport LNG explosion

42:31Natural gas prices

42:45Fracking

45:20Energy drawbacks of a renewable system in comparison to oil based

46:00We are optimizing societies for growth – which will never be possible

47:05Dominican Republic dictator who preserved the forests

48:05How money and debt interacts with energy

50:34What would life be like in 1750 Europe

54:45Steady State economy

56:35Issues with assumptions in modern economic theory

57:20Charles Darwin, Marie Curie, Gregor Mendel

58:40Deborah Strumsky and Jose Lobo, patent paper

1:03:18All the things that petroleum is valuable for

1:10:55Montessori education


Back to episodes
Reimagining Ourselves at the End of the WorldWith Samantha SweetwaterThe Great SimplificationEp 202 | Samantha Sweetwater

Over the past decade, the world has become increasingly chaotic and uncertain – and so, too, has our cultural vision for the future. While the events we face now may feel unprecedented, they are rooted in much deeper patterns, which humanity has been playing out for millennia. If we take the time to understand past trends, we can also employ practices and philosophies that might counteract them –  such as focusing on kinship, intimacy, and resilience – to help pave the way for a better future. How might we nurture the foundations of a different kind of society, even while the end of our current civilization plays out around us?

Watch nowNov 24, 2025
Two Ways of KnowingWith Rosa Vásquez EspinozaThe Great SimplificationEp 201 | Rosa Vásquez Espinoza

For centuries, modern science has relied on the scientific method to better understand the world around us. While helpful in many contexts, the scientific method is also objective, controlled, and reductionist – often breaking down complex systems into smaller parts for analysis and isolating subjects to test hypotheses. In contrast, indigenous wisdom is deeply contextual, rooted in lived experience, and emphasizes a reciprocal, integrated relationship with the rest of the natural world, viewing all parts of the system as interconnected. What becomes possible when we combine the strengths of each of these knowledge systems as we navigate humanity’s biggest challenges? 

Watch nowNov 19, 2025
Will We Artificially Cool the Planet?With Ted ParsonThe Great SimplificationEp 200 | Ted Parson

In this episode, Nate interviews Professor Ted Parson about solar geoengineering (specifically stratospheric aerosol injection) as a potential response to severe climate risks. They explore why humanity may need to consider deliberately cooling Earth by spraying reflective particles in the upper atmosphere, how the technology would work, as well as the risks and enormous governance challenges involved. Ted emphasizes the importance of having these difficult conversations now, so that we’re prepared for the wide range of climate possibilities in the future.

Watch nowNov 12, 2025

Subscribe to our Substack

The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future (ISEOF) is a 501(c)(3) non-profit corporation, founded in 2008, that conducts research and educates the public about energy issues and their impact on society.

Support our work
Get in touch
x