#132 | Frankly

What to Do as the World Falls Apart: A Framework for Action

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Frankly

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This week’s Frankly marks a turning point in the work of The Great Simplification. Having spent twenty years articulating the more-than-human predicament, Nate shifts from diagnosis to direction as current events – including conflict in the Strait of Hormuz – accelerate the timeline. Today Nate shares a first-pass framework for action and response that’s organized around what to do now, which could be applied to various places and at multiple scales. 

The framework begins with a personal foundation of inner work: stabilizing the nervous system, recapturing a sense of agency, doing grief work, and cultivating inner calmness as a precondition for effective action. Nate also emphasizes the need to build trusted networks and shared language so that when disruptions arrive, communities aren’t starting conversations from scratch. These two layers set the foundation for six broad fronts of intervention: infrastructure and physical stock-and-flow planning, poverty and displacement, ecological defense and regeneration, civic resilience and governance, culture and meaning, and economic transition toward commons-based and post-growth models. Nate stresses that these fronts are interdependent and not contingent on a single scenario – they hold across various possible scenarios for the future. 

Nate also introduces a timeline axis of three overlapping phases, which build upon each other to shape the conditions of our future: the current stability window where building is still possible, the period of triage and “bend not break,” and the stable attractor that gives direction to the work of the first two. Nate closes with an observation about leadership: that modern systems select for dark triad traits, and that reluctance to lead may itself be a signal worth heeding. 

What do you currently do with your time? Which of these six areas of engagement feels the most accessible to you right now? And where in your networks do you see the beginnings of shared language and trust that could support coordinated response?

In French, we have a motto that says that a simple drawing is often better than a long explanation. Jean-Marc Jancovici Carbone 4 President

That’s very understandable because with left atmosphere thinking, one of the problems is that you see everything as a series of problems that must have solutions. Iain McGilchrist Neuroscientist and Philosopher

We can’t have hundreds and hundreds of real relationships that are healthy because that requires time and effort and full attention and awareness of being in real relationship and conversation with the other human. Nate Hagens Director of ISEOF

This is the crux of the whole problem. Individual parts of nature are more valuable than the biocomplexity of nature. Thomas Crowther Founder Restor

Show Notes & Links to Learn More

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The TGS team puts together these brief references and show notes for the learning and convenience of our listeners. However, most of the points made in episodes hold more nuance than one link can address, and we encourage you to dig deeper into any of these topics and come to your own informed conclusions.

This episode sets the stage for the next phase of work on The Great Simplification.It’s best experienced in its video version on YouTube or Spotify.If you haven’t yet, begin with Frankly #97 | Why the World Feels Like It’s Falling Apart: The Superorganism in 7 Minutes to ground the context.

00:15 – The Great Simplification

00:45 – The Metacrisis/Polycrisis

01:00 – The peak of the Carbon Pulse (More info)

01:05 – Fossil fuels give us 500 billion human-worker equivalents, Burning fossil fuels over a million times faster than they were created

01:30 – Anthropogenic global heating

01:55 – Seven* of nine Planetary boundaries crossed: Plastics, Nitrogen and phosphorus cycles, Ocean acidification, Freshwater depletion, Biodiversity loss, and Ecosystem degradation

02:23 – Increasing wealth inequality in the U.S., Global wealth inequality, Financial claims on biophysical reality

02:42 – Polarization crisis, Addiction crisis

02:50 – Supernormal stimuli, Group bias

03:30 – Energy blind

03:40 – Week 3 of war in Iran

03:43 – Reduced flow of hydrocarbons in the Strait of Hormuz and countries affected

04:00 – The “magic” of fossil hydrocarbons 

05:25 – Communicating a problem without solutions can be ineffective

07:30 – Ray Dalio, Ray Dalio’s post on the Strait of Hormuz, Grok AI summary screenshot of a video from Dalio on X

08:37 – Upcoming U.S.-China Summit

08:48 – 2008 financial crisis, Mortgage securities not accurately representing value

10:03 – Frankly #129: A Guide to Staying Human (Part 1): Desperately Seeking Agency

10:55 – Triggered sympathetic nervous system cannot hold complexity or logically reason, Sympathetic vs. Parasympathetic nervous systems

11:25 – Long time horizon

12:00 – Equanimity: Resources for Stabilizing our nervous systems, Developing our agency, Cultivating self-efficacy, Regulating addiction

13:01 – Finding the Others: Join our Hylo community channel, Toolkit: Creating and Maintaining Coalitions and Partnerships

13:55 – Tool to map your constituency 

14:30 – Scenario planning, Examining shortfall risk 

16:10 – Rocks in the River, Islands of Coherence, Cultural Mitochondria (The social nature of mitochondria)

16:52 – Nate’s 4 future scenarios

22:45 – How to map out infrastructure/physical stock and flow

23:00 –  Technology won’t save us, How to reduce consumption, 2000-Watt Society (TGS Ep), Living Energy Farm (TGS Ep)

23:09 – Localization and re-regionalization, Design principles, Helena Norberg-Hodge (TGS Ep) of Local Futures, Global Ecovillage Network

23:35 – Decentralized energy infrastructure, 5 systems to use when the grid fails

23:52 – How to map your food system (CARAT tool)

24:00 – Protecting clean water and sanitation

24:07 – The Fragile State of Industrial Agriculture: Estimating Crop Yield Reductions in a Global Catastrophic Infrastructure Loss Scenario

24:25 – Retrofitting, DIY Weatherization (U.S. Weatherization Assistance Programs), Density patterns

24:35 – Suburban/urban sprawl

24:45- Medical and pharmaceutical global supply chains, Decentralizing healthcare in crisis

25:05 – Transporting goods when fuel costs rise

25:12 – Digital commons and Communication infrastructure, Decentralized communication platform

26:25 – Risk of automation

27:08 – Mutual aid hub, How to create a mutual aid network

27:33 – Improving the care economy

27:50 – Industries that prosper during recession 

28:10 – Social Cohesion in Times of Crisis: The Role of Communication for Democracies

29:10 – COVID-19 Pandemic (and subsequent economic contraction) reduced carbon emissions

29:40 – Goldilocks Technology, Open Source Ecology (low cost, low tech blueprints for machines)

29:50 – Carbon drawdown 

30:43 – How to protect biodiversity, Documenting and Protecting Biodiversity on Land Trust Projects: An Introduction and Practical Guide, Corridor creation design principles

31:02 – Protecting soil and watersheds, Regenerative agriculture 101

31:38 – Novel entities, Plastics and Fertility Reality Roundtable with Shanna Swan and Sian Sutherland, Endocrine-disrupting chemicals

32:37 – Economic benefits of preserving 30% of nature

34:10 – Power and wealth concentration

34:20 – Creating Deliberative (More info) and Participatory democracy (Importance of equality and democracy in collapse), Creating a citizens’ assembly, Sortition-based processes

34:30 – Audrey Tang (TGS Ep), Taiwan’s digital revolution

34:53 –  Subsidiarity and Mapping local governance capacity, Rural Capacity Index map

35:00 – Decentralization and placing power back to local governments

35:16 – Creating Anti-corruption and accountability governance systems

35:27 – Maladaptive behaviors in disasters

35:47 – Ombudsman, Intergenerational governance bodies, Netherlands Child Mayor 

36:10 – Building trust toolkit, Building an information commons

36:20 – People are inherently good (More info), Survey on this by country

36:55 – Importance of stories and meaning, Awakening from the Meaning Crisis

37:25 – Cultural Materialism by Marvin HarrisTheoretical principles, Nate Hagens explaining Marvin Harris’ Cultural Materialism, Basic Premises of Cultural Materialism, Infrastructure, Social Structure, Superstructure

37:30 – Daniel Schmachtenberger (TGS Episodes)

38:06 – Alternative education, Zak Stein TGS episode on reimaging education, Education in a Time Between Worlds

38:25 – Grief work (Francis Weller TGS episode on grief as ritual), Methods for Collective sensemaking

38:50 – Reconnecting to place

39:03 – Wes Jackson and Wendell Berry

39:15 – Importance of ritual, How to create ritual

39:50 – Importance of cultural agency and sovereignty

40:50 – Ecological overshoot

41:20 – Cooperative and commons-based ownership (More info), How to implement, Dark Matter Labs: Smart Commons

41:43 – Local exchange trading systems, Local currencies, Barter networks, Time banks, Strong local economies foster community cohesion

42:25 – Land and housing reform

42:47 – Finance and credit redesign, Debt is a claim on future energy

45:50 – Nate presenting on Three overlapping response phases

46:20 – U.S. is currently losing allies

47:30 – Bend not break

51:35 – Dark triad traits in positions of power

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